
*tests for Bussmann, M & N Iost. Presidential popularity and international crises: an assessment of the rally-‘round-the-flag effect in Russia. In: Post-Soviet Affairs

version 16

use RussiaRally_final.dta, clear

*Table 1

arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKconflict monthsinoffice honeymoon , ar(1)
*outreg using Table1_new, se bdec(3) ctitles(presidental approval) replace

arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKlessviolent L.HIIKveryviolent monthsinoffice honeymoon , ar(1)
*outreg using Table1_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKconflict monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using Table1_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKlessviolent L.HIIKveryviolent monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using Table1_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.crisis monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth, ar(1) 
*outreg using Table1_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.violentresponse L.nonviolentresponse monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth, ar(1)
*outreg using Table1_new, se bdec(3) merge replace


*robustness tests, reported in text & appendix

*monthly growth and unemployment instead of cpi monthly growth rate
arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKlessviolent L.HIIKveryviolent monthsinoffice honeymoon unemployment if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using TableA2_new, se bdec(3) ctitles(presidental approval) replace

arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKlessviolent L.HIIKveryviolent monthsinoffice honeymoon growthGDPmonthly if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using TableA2_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

*protest variable
arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKlessviolent L.HIIKveryviolent monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth protest if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using TableA2_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

*election cycle variables
arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKlessviolent L.HIIKveryviolent monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth backswing presidentialelections if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using TableA2_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

*Putin dummy
arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.HIIKlessviolent L.HIIKveryviolent monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth Putin if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using TableA2_new, se bdec(3) merge replace
 
*territorial conflict
arfima approvalpresidentLevada_i L.issueterritory monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using TableA2_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

*FOM data
arfima approvalFOM L.HIIKlessviolent L.HIIKveryviolent monthsinoffice honeymoon CPIgrowth if month<tm(2020m12), ar(1)
*outreg using TableA2_new, se bdec(3) merge replace

